Climate models, IPCC, assumptions: Why “climate change” is in our mind.

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argo-0-700m-v-models-sept-2013-update

Climate change seems indisputable, but it is not. If someone searches enough, he will see that specific dogmas (“innocent” assumptions? – see the MOTIVES at the end of the article) hide behind all the climate models used by the IPCC (mark the words, only by using these in Google will you be able to find any truly valuable article related to the theme).

Earth is heated by the Sun and radiates energy back to space (known as “flux”). If the energy radiated is equal to the energy sent from the Sun, then the temperature stays the same.

And here comes the important part: the role of clouds (cloud feedback). Many people think CO2 is the main greenhouse gas, but they are wrong: water vapor is. (1) Clouds can have two types of feedback in global warming: positive or negative.

Positive feedback: Some warming leads to a decrease in clouds due to the increase of the atmosphere’s ability to hold more dispersed evaporated vapor. (2) This decrease in clouds, leads to more Sun radiation reaching Earth’s surface and, thus, in an increase in warming. (3)

Negative feedback: Warming leads to an increase in clouds which act as a shield for Sun’s radiation, thus leading to less warming. (3)

Now here comes the important part: IPCC takes for granted that the clouds have POSITIVE feedback. This assumption makes all of their climate models show this relation between the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and to changes in radiation flux (4):

Now let’s take a look at the actual data we have from satellite measurements (4):

See also here or here on why the clouds have negative feedback after all or here for how scientists are starting to realize the mistake from IPCC. Could it be possible that cloud feedback is dependent on the area we analyze? (see here)

Get it?

IPCC is using climate models which do not model the climate correctly (5). And then they go on and attribute their wrong models poor performance to human made warming that (supposedly) their models did not predict!

Every time you look at a temperature increase diagram, pay attention to its scale (is the increase so HUGE or have we just magnified a small change?), check which are the uncertainty bounds in the diagram (could it be possible that within the error limits we do not have any change?), but MOST IMPORTANTLY: LEARN THE ASSUMPTION ON WHICH THE DIAGRAM IS BASED!

Assumptions rule our world.

Assumptions rule science.

Assumptions rule philosophy.

And when we forget we use them, they turn into a much more dangerous thing: DOGMAS.

But WHY? Why would anyone use wrong assumptions in such a way? Does Al Gore want our good?

The reason is simple: Money & Politics!

One could think of many potential reasons to promote a “anthropogenic climate change” agenda. Gain money through the CO2 stock exchange. Gain money through the new policies imposed all over the world for new cars, houses etc. A perfect excuse to keep developing countries… developing! Or the opposite: A good excuse to stop US from growing more and give China the chance to be No.1. It all depends on how you look at it. The fact is that everyone is pushing their own agenda here. Science is the least of their worries.

Science has lost its innocence a long time now.

And it is difficult to earn back something like that…

From that point of view, the world is really becoming cold. Too cold…

Additional sources against the climate change (a.k.a. “humans make the planet warm”) hypothesis…

“Against ecology” main articles list

Beverly Hills, racism, “racism”…

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We do not like racism. We feel against those Beverly Hills bimbos who just cannot stand filthy poor people.

But question your self: Do you not like them better than all those pseudo-leftist ideology self-proclaimed “progressive” who SAY they like everyone and who CLAIM they are not racists but live in rich neighborhoods and big houses, doing anything BUT hanging out with the people they claim they like?

Hypocrisy is the quintessence of our civilization.

We like to fool our selves that we like everyone and yet we hang out only with a handful of people – most of the times people who are just LIKE us.

Maybe we should narrow the definition of “racism”. And broaden the definition of “hypocrite”.

Science has secrets!? No no no no no!

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Japanese scientists and academics are warning that legislation threatening prison terms for those who divulge and publish what the government deems a state secret threatens academic freedom and the public’s right to know. (1)

Hypocrites!

You never help by lying!

Scientific secrets in the form of government or industrial secrets have for a long time been held… secret! Try to ask for the exact composition of the solution used to copper plate PCB holes and tell me if you find something in… Google.

Hiding behind our finger does not help to tackle the real problems of science and industry relations.

Bribing, “bonus”, hypocrisy…

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A research shows corruption in developing or under-developed countries. The “leading” countries of the world are not investigated at all. [1]

You see they do not have any corruption. Bribing is called “bonus” there…

PS. Yes, all German companied bribed Greek officials to get projects in Greece and yet Germany is not even included in the research while Greece is on the top corrupted countries in Europe!

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